Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Ultrashort China.....


Somone was talking about going short china...Grodge, wants some TA on it...

Green line shows a continued uptrend.

Red shows micro elliot wave... it does cheat a little at wave 2

Blue shows the larger wave... and the developing wave 3

of course china did close up... and there is a little bit of a wedge Reversal pattern developing.

how is that for a hedge.

2 comments:

Tony said...

Thanks for the chart. I was looking at FXI (the inverse of FXP) last night and was starting to think that the trend is flattening out. The long term 200-day MA is still positive on China.

Maybe I should take profits with FXP at $99, but I was fully expecting it to get to $104. With futures up today, I may need to get out.

Eric said...

I'm getting a little Sweaty here myself... I'd let the market trade for an hour or 30 min... This is either the top or an impending reversal....

It's not like a weak volume rally can't go on for a few weeks.

I'm going to stick it out... on most everything but I do think short china may be the best play after the next rally.

This is such an unconvincing rally. Kills me that we are at levels that failed a week ago, and that somehow it's ok a week later.

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