Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Monday, November 8, 2010

the question is....

Was that Euphoria.....


I'm not watching TV....

for some reason it feels like Pre-Euphoria...

but maybe that is the good sentiment... even I'm scared to call top.

Monday, October 11, 2010

a planet unto himself

Tony said "Maybe you posting is a sentiment sign in itself"


Sure, I could hedge and say "Maybe we are in Denial"...

Or some such GAY ASS LAME MARKET HEDGING WORTHLESS BULLSHT!!! the kind of Bullshit from "Market Pros" talking out both sides of their ass. Talk that makes Washington look Sane, and respectable.

But... I think here comes Aversion.... I have no problem being wrong. But ... I've called my shot.

Of course... now I want to see the technical breakdown....

No chart But ..... Lets see the start of the pattern of Lower highs and Lower lows....

Sentiment... is now 90% there. I'm not paying enough attention to see if it's perfect... or how close it is to Perfect.... Or watching CNBC... But .... Over the weekend and friday... we still had some "Doubt" in this market.... We could still need to see One more up day... To make the last bull hit buy....

Let us see what Happens....

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Long time

It's been a great year for me. Fucking Amazing if I do say so myself.


Glad I quit spending nights But crunching the market. You have no idea how little I want to ever spend a night watching the futures.... Which is absolutely Futile. Or Giving a shit what all the Narcisistic Lunatics that do every day, have to tell me.

I like Doug Kass, but ask yourself every time you watch CNBC.... "Do you Want to be these people" Doug is a decent guy... but it looks like he has some solid neurosis... as do 99% of these people.... Is that what you want out of your life? Don't kid yourself... as they pretend they are "Well" or that "Everything is fine" They are not well people.

Like I was saying... Get a life... It's not that hard to watch the technicals every few days. Check a few blogs for sentiment and make a bet or two....

Ok... So... it finally seems like we have fairly positive sentiment. I'm not sure it's perfect yet.... But it's time to keep an eye out for a breakdown.

Bla Bla Bla...

Since the winter, I've Rebuilt the house, Currently doing an overhall on the rest of the property, taking care of the Barns and Garden. Had a Brilliant Garden this year, which continues to produce some Amazing Vegetables. Digging up Tons of work.


This Amazing woman is Absolutely Crazy about me. Life if Fucking Amazing....

Like I said, that fucking market will suck your Soul.... and you will become one of those fucking market vampires.

Wednesday, August 4, 2010

well

sentiment is still fairly negative.... It's a tough call.


if you are bearish, which I'm still sketchy about sentiment wise. You want to see a flat open which sells off.

I'd still like to see a couple modest slightly up days, and for sentiment to shift.

Sunday, July 18, 2010

test

we had that nice test of top setup on friday... which seems to have failed.

Now... this seems very emotional. For a "Real Correction" I would have liked to see it be a down 100 or so day. I'm a little suspect that this may not make a new low. That and sentiment is quickly negative. I'd be curious what is on CNBC.... but it's too hard for me to watch.... Maybe I'll check it out on monday.

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

what have we

Throwing a few flags in here... It could just be Basing.

last we checked. we had a nice bear trap... and still off this flag, there is a solid chance there is yet another bear trap.
Futures are down 5 right now. I've always said futures are sentiment.... so... it is hard to draw any conclusion from them. Up 10 off the close. now down 5.

Sentiment did shift quite aggressively today. It's at least 50/50 bull bear.

Thursday, July 1, 2010

here is the daily

I hate listening to CNBC.... BLECH!!! makes me want to puke.


Lots of anticipation of bad NFP.... and again... it's a bad NFP... economic data is stinko!!

we hit some resistance.... and a nice trap could be here...

it's a tough game in here...

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

what have we....

This is kind of fucked up as an E-Wave count. Even as an ABC.... From my read... seems like we are close to a bit of panic. Many people took notice of the market today.

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

There she went

and I didn't have to watch CNBC or watch futures all night or anything......

Monday, June 21, 2010

that is what you are dealing with

Futures up big...

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Morning

No chart... we had some push through on some technicals yesterday. Which means nothing to me... but it does to some people.



Wednesday, June 9, 2010

We are saved!!!!

Maybe not!

Tuesday, June 8, 2010

no chart

Sentiment wen't wonky Yesterday.


I figured it was a good day to unload some and play with some hedges.

who knows... but things just hit a level of strange by the close monday.

and now I have to watch it.

Monday, June 7, 2010

selling continues

see. I don't see any reason to sit around watching futures.


yesterday they were down 15 when I went to bed. Down 7 when I got up. and up 3 at the open.

What is the point of that?

to make your life miserable? and you are just stupid?

oh well..... obsess over the futures...

and sleep shitty!

no chart... maybe I'll look at it in the morning... but...

Test of bottom!!!

bla bla bla

Friday, June 4, 2010

Okidokie

No bounce... Impressive. I'm covering some into the close. I earned my money, watching this all day.

Very optimistic on that NFP!

If I feel like it, I'll show you some patterns. This is sort of in-Between. There is some very funky Sentiment out there. I'm in the middle of about 5 projects, it's hard for me to get any perspective on that sentiment.


Feels like we are at some kind of Decision point on it.

but there is always "Manic Monday", or the anticipation of such.

Good Luck everyone!

Seems to me that many of the day traders, at the end of the day are going to Try and be short and have to cover.

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

the great gaza strip V

There is no good reason to sell it. So Flat on my end... If I want to play it long again... I can do that tomorrow.


I'm telling you! the market will make you crazy and will suck your soul if you let it.

Tuesday, June 1, 2010

action

I told tony on Friday that red upswing looked like a failure or a double top. We gap faded... and we got the dying swan.


So... now we have a downswing of some sort.

But Like I said, Market is going up, Market going down. It's easy. Don't lose any sleep over it and take care of yourself.

Watching the tick chart all day, is "Pretending to work". You should be able to do that and have a decent life... Or what the hell are you doing? Going to wait until you are 60 or 70 to live?

You are alive... Live!

Good morning

futures are down.. 15 which isn't a shit load... so that is good for the bears.


I spent a few hours looking at things over the weekend. You have to understand... I sleep well. 8-10 hours per night. I work all day, unless I goof off, I put in 12-16 hour days. Goofing off is a few hours of cycling. This isn't 6 hours of work of staring at the TICK chart trying to convince myself 'I'm working' then trying to get other work done.

the market is going up, or the market is going down. It's that easy. It's hard because your money is involved.

I spent a few hours on friday... and a few hours on the weekend, in Market land... You People are in HELL!

I don't know why Y'all do it to yourselves. Staying up all night, Stressing... Gritting your teeth. I guarantee you will live 10 years less if not 30... and look at what your life is like! 20-50 years of "Tick Chart".. and listening to the Blubber fest of CNBC and Bloomberg.

There is a whole world going on out there. Check it out!

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Morning

no chart...


yesterday, felt like a solid chance of a "Technical trap" where what we see as technicals break down, and it sucks the last sellers in.

from what I read on tv... it doesn't feel like a very good washout. but....
futures are up 8

Monday, May 24, 2010

futures are down 13

the close didn't look good, nor the pattern... sorry no chart...


You still have to give it the benefit of the doubt, sentiment is grim!

but the chart does not look hopeful it looked like a fast flag... and a bad one.

who knows what the futures will bring in the morning.

Sunday, May 23, 2010

hmmm

we will see, Futures were up huge on friday... now they are down 3...


I'm not going to show a chart... but I'm still cautious.... but looking for a bounce... but if it doesn't materialize.. I'm not going to sweat it.

Thursday, May 20, 2010

No chart

sounds like I"m going to have to watch cnbc for a few days....


would you believe, I'd rather lose money!...

Friday, May 14, 2010

hey Charts

The target here was/is about where we are trading in the futures.


So, it's these ranges... for all the "Crash Talk" realize how, we just puked up... a little bit of gains. from the past months. Either we are accepting or rejecting these price levels. Geee that is No fucking help as a statement. But for all the traders from October until now to get flushed.


Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Innocent until proven guilty



It is what it is... sentiment... is positive... but I'm too busy to sit around and watch CNBC.

No chart

Sorry...


too much going on...

seems like make or break... we are in a bit of a range in the 30 minute bars... and we break one way or the other.

seems like down... The question is... is it a larger consolidation?

I honestly think we need another leg down.

Friday, May 7, 2010

Some thoughts

I still have to stick with "I don't know."...


I have to stick with what I said before the "Crash of 2:45" Tshirts shilled by the stocktwits Assholes.

That there was a bounce coming. I don't know how that changed the outlook. If we had hit the Feb low next week, I would have said, we have some kind of Multi week bounce.....

it's a hard read.

but... it was untradable...

Fascinating

Apparently there is now a "live blog" to track over at invivoanalytics.


I told tony "Wait for Teresa Blog" 6.0. It had been to long without a change. Time for something new.

So I have the blog,
the comments from the blog,
the Twitter feed,
and now the live blog.

4 ways to get the info...

I'm sure there is no way to miss anything now!!!

The market... I haven't posted, about Thursday. That was just crazy. From the Jan highs to the Feb Lows in .... an hour? Next to impossible to trade.

Fun Fun Fun...

I just have to say... I don't know. But time is a-waisting!!!!

Thursday, May 6, 2010

wrong about that...

feels like a bit of panic.... on the TV... I had to turn it on......


I hate watching CNBC.... all these people are Black Holes of emotional.... Uglyness.... WTF is wrong with them.... petty little.... Uch..

isn't Carl Quintinilla "On Location" on of the signs of the apocolypse

V2b test of bottom

I suspect this is the low, and we will get a bounce through monday.


This is probably the end of Overt Warning phase... after a bounce... Next up "Panic"

daily spy... Jan high

We are at a retest of the Jan high.... I'm not sure what smarty pants has on this, But we are "playing with" that jan high....


It seems logical to me, that "Somewhere" we will get a bounce.... and Maybe a bounce into Monday.. and a Manic monday... which Might be some kind of "Bear Flag"

So.,.. I'm just saying "Be ready to hedge" Today is thursday... some kind of "2 bar bear flag"...

It's just a thought. but that jan high retest, should bring in some Buyers.

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

reward for watching

Doug kass is fairly positive.... you have either a spike and ledge... which it falls off of.

Or a trade of last resort above the last high.(arrow)

Umn.... Just figured, i'd give you some kind of post for reading....

this is overt warning.... we will see how panic develops.

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Planting.

Yesterday, I woke up, and one of the programs I had to have working, completely freaked out on me. I spent all day Friday, trying to get a different program to work properly. I couldn't take another day of "Fixing Programs", and worse, it was not a problem on "my end".


So... I hit Eject, and went to the Greenhouse.
This is what it looks like.... This is just where half the vegetables are.
Now, below is my greenhouse, a week ago, my sister, who is a shit Gardner(sibling stuff here)... and seriously... I fucking Rock!
she is just trying to keep up..... Irregardless(Hat tip Sandy/Turbo.. I know it isn't a word), My sister sent me some plants, They were the ones she didn't want to transplant in her own greenhouse. I've been a slacker, and couldn't get seedlings started... Sure I rock!! but I'm super Busy!... Blogging and what not... I have a policy, I only grow things in the greenhouse, that I can't buy. So only Heirloom Tomatoes, Only special Varieties of things. It's cheaper and better for the environment, if it's done commercially. And I support local Growers.
but, beyond the Extras, my sister gave me (seriously she grew roma's and some Cherry... I asked her "what kind of cherry tomatoes", and she looked at me like I was from outer space).. BTW there is a Cherry tomato and a Grape cherry tomato. I'll bet she gave me something in between.... furthermore, Roma's are good for Canning, but not the best for sandwiches, which is what my sister wants... but she does Roma's because I do roma's for canning.....

you want some nerd stuff, the heirloom of the roma is called tomato rosa, and it's slight variations.
So, these are the sickly tomato plants she gave me.... they are in rough shape
This is post transplant, We will see how they Fair.
one thing she did was put the tomatoes and tried to grow them in Styrofoam cups. of course she doesn't have regular cups... nor could she poke holes in the bottom for drainage, so they were building up fungus, and root rot.. as well as suffocating, in the water...

Roots have to breath, if water stagnates on a plant, over the roots, the roots will actually rot and suffocate.

Here I am transplanting, and trying to get them back into shape. I didn't do a very good after picture. sometimes plants get to close together, and they grow Up, instead of out. So you have to spread them out......

All of this is prep for putting them in the ground at the end of the month, in the next 30 days, I'll probably double the number of plants in the greenhouse. What you can see, is the greenhouse at 10% capacity.... I can crank out plants... but maybe that will be something for next year.

chart

10 day spy. there is one of those solid chances that everybody selling today, will be on the wrong side of the trade tomorrow. We could even stay in that trade channel

Monday, May 3, 2010

descending or triangle of death

I'd guess more complicated patterns.... I think trading is going to get more "Sentiment" oriented, and less technical. and we may only see "Complicated" technical patterns, one beyond your usual mouthbreather.

I would suggest more complicated than the "Descending".

So much for

My, surprise Non Manic monday.... That certainly Bit...


I wonder if the last 30 minutes will...

This is all, very odd trading, strange patterns... etc...

This may start to require 3rd order thinking.

This feels like... "The boat"... the one that moves right to left.... It feels like we are just "rocking" with little sense to it,

Everyone is on the left..... Move to the right..... everyone runs right... move left....

Repeat until you vomit.



Friday, April 30, 2010

Well now!!

Looks like the jig is up.... I wonder how many, out there... are "Hoping" for a Manic Monday, to puke into, to cash out.....


seems like there is a good counter bet... to them thinking there are bagholders on monday..

we didn't really trend today.....

But it looks to me... Like the Jig is up!....

Thursday, April 29, 2010

The swing

We are watching this upswing for a failure. A move below the afternoon low, with no new high, would probably end the swing. Futures are down 2... that seems close.

If futures are negative, I'd suspect a gap fade in the morning. "Then we See".... See if it can make a new 2 day high. or fail.

Upswing continues

Like I said a few days ago, we needed to see the next significant upswing... Here it is...


and I am looking at it.... No predictions.... Just watching it.

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

SO

We went up, tested the Pennant and sold off.... I have no idea what is going on, on the idiot box.


Goldman, Greece... and a bunch of jerking off, I'd imagine.

so

a lot of volume here... seems like a place for a bounce.

I don't need to remind

we need to see the 65 or 130 minute Down Swing, then the next upswing.... etc....


Doug Kass was ... discombobulated yesterday... which was a good sign...

Also remember this is, so far, just a test of the pennant.

Monday, April 26, 2010

no longer consolidation.

I don't really have anything.

I have no idea what the sentiment is on the idiot box. There is too much stuff on my plate.


Seems positive. we could be an 8 on my scale... could be a 12.

I think I covered it... we don't have anything to sell on the technical side. Unless I'm missing it.

The strange thing to me, about sentiment, is it's way more positive than in 07.

It's a strange metric, and you can talk about kudlow...etc... and sure he is more negative, than he was 2 years ago....

Friday, April 23, 2010

Top Callers ... Crushed again.

I said it the whole time... BE CAREFUL!!! but maybe you were not awake or paying any attention.


Doug Kass continues to shuck and jive...

I don't know what is on TV as sentiment....

But there is nothing technical to sell here.

But, I continue to be super busy.... There is a whole world out there....

thanks for playing, and good luck....

Thursday, April 22, 2010

that is what you have

it would be curious to see it resolve down instead of up.. as it normally would.

no chart this morning

futures are down 6... that doesn't sound good.

I'd still look for the gap fade, then see what happens.

Yesterday was real hell trade, no good place to get a position going...

Good thing it was more about getting rid of a hedge, for me.

I'm buried today.... so... Quick post.

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

some fun!

Still undecided

It's a small consolidation, if it is one. I don't know if I can say, one way or another. "Still Resolving"

The question is

Is this the end of the upswing?

Monday, April 19, 2010

No chart summary

I'm too lazy, to post a chart.


The first target of that running triangle has been hit. That could be it...
Sentiment seems positive.. "Resilient market" bla bla bla bla

in the chart, that I'm not posting. I would look for/be careful of some kind of inverted Head and shoulders, this may give us another little leg up.

But, so far, I see nothing to sell in the current Upswing.

Sentiment might be "positive" but we need something technical...

We need to "SEE" a trade of last resort, happen.. or something else... But on the current upswing, I don't really see anything.

this running triangle

is what we are looking at now.

Upswing?

If we are going to get the upswing.... it should be here.


I'd like to see a retest of the, 15 minute swing low.

swing

So, futures are down 5 that is a retest of yesterday's low that is the white arrow on the spx chart.


The question is.... was the bounce, from friday, just a little Bear flag?

Or are we setting up a panic low on fridays low, a low that will hold until 11 or midday, and then it will bounce.
There is a chance we have another HUGE leg down....

but to me ... it seems like wishful thinking. Once this gets a decent bounce..

We need to see the next Upswing. The first downswing is Now... and we still need to see the next upswing, before we are convinced there is a Downtrend on the daily.

NOT OUT OF THE WOODS YET!

Saturday, April 17, 2010

no idea why I do this

I was going through the industrial part of town. On a saturday, if they are busy, from 9-noon is when most companies will do overtime. Everybody sleeps in, comes in, does some work, and moves on with their life.


Most the business' were close, those that looked like someone was there, it looked like "The boss" or the "owner" and it was his car only.

The only businesses open were Automotive, either fixing cars older than 5 years, or Luxury cars getting the air conditioning worked on. There were some retail places that were "Open" but nobody was there.

I Fucking Hate you...

Can that be Eric's version of "The Awful Truth"

Ok, not really. I just hate, that for some reason i'm obliged to sit here like a monkey and type up a bunch of Bullsht! because it may be helpful.....

Somehow... I owe it to the world... Because I'm Joe Fucking Neckbone here to ...Whatever... For you Lot!... I should punish you with Helots again!!!

Waste my time Typing up this bullshit, that either I poorly communicate... or you can't fucking understand.

Chuck Norris and Ronald Reagan, Save the world!

I'm sitting here, watching "The Delta Force" ... I love this movie BTW... Terrorists, Special forces, nationalisum. I had a Girlfriend in Highschool, I got the High Sign from dad because I knew who the green Berets were, and he was a Green Beret.

"Kill them all, Let God sort them out."

I realized, As I watched the move, this is the Tea Bagger Persona. It's like they Grew up and stopped learning things in 1986. They lived through the 70's and a bunch of Horror, brought onto the economy. Somehow Third World Terrorists, were threatening us...


And in the middle of all of that, you just Called Chuck Norris and Ronald Reagan... and they fixed everything. This is their solution. They are caught in some stupid fucking 1986 movie with stars and stripes in the background. Acting like they are 16 years old or 25...

and This Lame shit, is the Answer....

Only it's 30 years later, he is old and fat. Movies are not Real. The middle east wasn't the third world then, and certainly isn't now. And they need to Cut off the Mullet and move into the Next decade...Then the next... and finally the next....
Then finally they will be ready to move with the rest of us, into the Next coming decade....

I hope they are fast learners, because... they need to work on 3 decades of The world turning.


Good luck... Teabaggers!!!

The delta force Lee Marvin's Final movie....

Ok... again... Fuck off...

Friday, April 16, 2010

just a post

these are the levels you are looking at. This is actually much more important stuff than the rest of it.


Odd little ....

  • Goldman sachs gets caught acting like a Used Car salesmen.
  • They get Paid, not only to sell you the car that doesn't work, but
  • they also get paid again when it breaks down...
  • Then they get paid again, when what they do, brings the entire Economy down....
Paid four times to Fuck everyone.

and somehow.... there is a rationalization for this.... somehow this is how it is supposed to work?

And the entire Socio-economic model isn't Completely broken?

BTW doug Kass was calling short term bottom at 10:30 this morning.. just to show how Discombobulated "They" are.

Talk about children

Cramer is on ... Acting like a spoiled child...


Understand, in the face of "Bad Behavior" Adults Rise above it, and move on.

Notice how ANGRY cramer was.....

now this is good Television....

So... then CNBC ejects anyone not throwing out the standard pitch....

and they bring in... all the old Hasbins from CNBC... Oh!!!! I've seen that guy 20 times this week.!! I wonder what he has to say... Will it be different from yesterday?

Listen Little Boys and Girls

ON GOLDMAN SACHS GS, BAC, C, ...ETC the banks.


These people are Children....

If your child, drove your car, off a cliff, Racing it. Or didn't like his room, so they burned it down.

40 years ago, they would have Received the Beating of their life.

but if they wandered around like their shit didn't stink for a year, and threw it in your face, Like little JUVENILE DELINQUENTS, "WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO DAD!!! I'M YOUR CHILD, YOU CAN'T HURT ME."
"Fuck you, Buy a New one!"

Like the banks have....

YOU WOULD COME DOWN LIKE AN
UNHOLY GOD!
LIKE A VENGEFUL OLD TESTAMENT GOD!
You would swoop down like, an avenging angle, swoop the child out of the "PlayGround", and there would be Chores, and groundings... and the WHOLE Deal... YOU HAVE NO CHOICE..

but on cnbc... it's the same childish bullshit.... like the 9 year old taking care of the 6 year olds.

FUCK THESE ASSHOLES!... our society has no choice but to force the banks to a SERIOUS COME TO JESUS!!!!!


I know it's Anathema to believe that the "Gods of Wallstreet" are a bunch of Six year olds, who need a spanking.....

BUT IT'S THAT EASY!!! Back to basics..

This stuff is still out of control....

World of Delinquents.... or Crack down.

In Case of Downtrend...... Break Glass!!!

in red, and as I've pointed out previously, these are the levels to look for "In case of Downtrend" for hedges/bounces for getting short.

New Economic Indicators and Releases

What does Blue Horse shoe love?- Blog search of "BHL"