Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Sunday, October 12, 2008

CDS Swaps

For a thousand Tinfoil hat filled years ok...2 years the concern is the Trillions in CDS and what the actually Trade would be...

the rumor was 250-400 Billion... on Lehman.. The pay out was 6 billion.

That is a 50 to 1 ratio on the SWAPS Vs the Payout on them.

44 trillion in the CDS market translates into less that 1 Trillion in payouts Amusing Economic Collapse..... Seems like this isn't Armageddon...

Qualifier.... This is all Using my 10 minute Gorilla Math.. That is the quant version of the purple Crayon.

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