Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Friday, April 4, 2008

Tired

We are starting to look tired here..... no more short covering to provide upside... the bulls have to work for it now....... Maybe we are working on the top tick......



  • Seems most likly that we would buy up into the close....

  • we havn't broken the uptrend yet..

  • we usually have a 5 wave move in an uptrend... and we have only had 3.....

  • one possibility is that we just keep slowing down to the upside, till there is almost no volitility.... and then we drift back down for weeks

  • different possiblility is the buy up to earnings.... then as earnings dissapoint we trade down.


The XLF has broken another downtrend and should threaten the highs.


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