It's hard to see but I drew yesterday's down pattern-wave count. We have seen that pattern a few times... should probably keep and eye out for it... it's an ABC... But presents whth what looks like a developing 3rd wave... and then the 4th wave gets long and the 5the wave fails.
In red I have the ABC pattern... we have the uptrend from the closing there... we should have a continuation of that pattern, or a small downwave... after that we should get a 3rd wave to teh upside.... With some short covering as the Bears get Boot stomped.
I think it's going to be likly that we have "Bear Capitulation" before the downtrend will start again.
Our new wave counts start yesterday at 3:30 With Wave 1... at a minimum I expect wave 2 today.. we may see some bears pile into a sell off morning trade... that trade hasn't worked in so long...
Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.
J. P. Morgan
Wednesday, April 9, 2008
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