Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Tuesday, February 5, 2008

morning charts

10 day chart This trend line should be violated then in a bullish trend we bounce back to the 12800/1400 level and retest.

OR

THAT MOVE TWARD 1400 FAILS AND WE HAVE A NEW DOWNTREND CONFIRMED.



3 day chart


Shows a rough trade channel, an a couple support resistance lines.


Caution... it would be normal that to get past the resistance at 1400 we have to bounce at it a few times.... and to pull back to some downside support then do a final violation of the trend.


Bearish is that we had a significant wedge formation, that indicates a reversal.

If we end the day down, based on our futures... That will be a confirmation of the downtrend.

If we end above 12725... Uptrend probably continues.... if at any time during the day we get above 12725... it neutralizes the downtrend.


I'll look for a good up-move for an exit for some of my long positions.
2 day micro chart


A little downside support in blue... and the possible developing downtrend trade channel.

(you can also draw a trade channel using the blue)

Today is going to take much more coffee....

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