Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Sunday, October 12, 2008

sort of a heads up

You know... it's the weekend, I have so few moments away from mother market... and it's constant enema.

I just wanted to make sure I shared some comments.

I think that most of the selling is caused by 3 things:

  1. Liquidation for the LEH auction
  2. Hedge fund liquidation
  3. Retail panic since Bush said "we face the great depression"
here are the dangers...

Much of this has been caused by "LEH" blowing up, and the cascading effects. Realize... there are about 6 more banks and a country called Iceland that have blown up, we could see some ripples from that, I haven't been keeping track.. but the secret to a good "Blow up" is to make the bond holders whole.

Furthermore, after the LEH auction, and the liquidations for that auction there could be some Collateral damage.

AIG is a Fucking disaster, Hopefully it can get liquidated and end up being a small little insurance company.

2 comments:

tradewell said...

1. from what i read it won't be liquidated until the week after

2. hedgefunds and retail remind me of the cascading effect of margin calls during 1929 crash

3. bush is a provocateur

There are other countries on the brink.

So it's by no means over.

Can you send me an email? I have to get something off my chest to someone (no crimes, i swear) and i think you may find this interesting. Heavy-weight tinfoil stuff.

tradewell said...

1. the week after this one

New Economic Indicators and Releases

What does Blue Horse shoe love?- Blog search of "BHL"

cnbc