I was reminded today, that "markets bottom" when there is no where to run.
On wed, they ran to treasuries, oil and gold, And that worked. So... No bottom.
today those trades suddenly ran out of momentum "gold and oil topped out"... and they had no where to run.....
So I looked for a "turn", and reminded about how we get the "MAD MAX/ bunker Trade" just before the turn. And regardless, of oil, the xle was getting whacked.
Sure.. they interviened... but in a way, I don't buy it. we probably would have bounce on the idea that "Power lunch" was stairing at all the papers predicting armageddon, Talking about how it could be a bottom with the vix at 45, the paters, a trader said "If you are brave enough to try and buy it here, you are braver than I"
and sure enough that was it. Bears ran out of money.... Reversal
Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.
J. P. Morgan
Thursday, September 18, 2008
So, lets talk about today
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1 comment:
I think the bounce was so big because everyone *wanted* it. I sure wanted it :) 12-13 minutes of pure terror was enough.
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