I heard this new mantra today, which shows the "Slide down the slope of hope".
The average Bear goes down 30%. So from here you don't have much downside.
See... You have, on average 10% downside. and maybe worse.....
But Like I've said, the first leg of it happens in the first 6-9 months, and the second part happens in months 9-24.
Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.
J. P. Morgan
Thursday, July 3, 2008
Some Bad risk management
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