Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Thursday, July 3, 2008

Some Bad risk management

I heard this new mantra today, which shows the "Slide down the slope of hope".

The average Bear goes down 30%. So from here you don't have much downside.

See... You have, on average 10% downside. and maybe worse.....

But Like I've said, the first leg of it happens in the first 6-9 months, and the second part happens in months 9-24.

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cnbc