Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Tuesday, July 8, 2008

I believe......

2 days of the SPY
The morning Pull back messed with the technical model I was working with..... I haven't had a chance to work with it.... But my guess is 2 things...
This morning was a succesfull retest of the low. and suggests we have some near term upside.
Either:
  • We will have upside till the morning.
  • todays stregnth(if it maintians) could run into the short covering rally of 200-500 points
this upside move is require for us to then get the wash out...

oil seems like it could move back to 126 this week...

The ViX broke the uptrend and is back in the 24.5 range.... which suggests a little rally

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