Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.
J. P. Morgan
Friday, July 11, 2008
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8 comments:
Wow, sell off till the close???
this market is a nightmare to guess.
Common sense would say yes, and a wash out on monday.
but the market keeps going against common sense.
rarely to see vxo >30, i think we haven't reached the real fear and the final sell off.
I like your opinion.
we have yet to see a 28 vix, not being a highly profitable buying opertunity.
we just started what could segnificant reversals in financials
I would like to see a little better sell off, I'd like to see the whole market go negative.
we may see some free fall for a little bit.
By looking at the history for the past 7 years, we only got a relative high vxo in 07 & 08.
Aug 16 07 vxo=37.69
Jan 22 08 vxo=39.02
Mar 17 08 vxo=37.17
I am expecting we will reach a low once vxo reach 35 or above. Current 32 vxo is not high enough to drive everything out. By the way, I remembered there was a article in Cnbc mentioned 10566 Dow is a miracle number (maybe a key support) i will not long until the big i bank released their earnings and how the market react.
They signed a housing bill, I don't know what to say about the current boogyman.
Financals start reporting on monday or tuesday, we could just see Zero confidence till then... and maybe even bad news will mean short covering.
More long weeks, i'm sure.
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