Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Market

The day tends to come in 3 forms, a morning leg, an afternoon leg, which are significant. then some kind of lunch correction.

That the market rallied through 11:30. That is a 3 hour move. that is sometimes proportional to the afternoon leg. Which would suggest that the correction will be 1-2 hours... specifically 1.5 hours.
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the way the market is moving feels like "the bottom is in" trade, and we need to get some nice euphoria, which should also be a "Shorts are in Hell" phase, as they have been waiting for a correction to get out.

7 comments:

Tony said...

What is the short ratio for the market now?

Is it historically high or low?

Eric said...

that is monthly data, actually it seems like it's relatively low

October 31, 2008
722,568,248

October 15, 2008
1,141,341,041

September 30, 2008
1,182,959,576

September 15, 2008
1,375,834,183

Eric said...

I'm glad you are making money, sad to see you walking, it seems like there is still some money out there, we could get a very nice rally.

Tony said...

Yeah, it was a good day... even a blind squirrel... yada yada yada.

My in-laws are coming for Thxgiving and I have some stuff to do.

I'm still holding HCBK, MCD, JNJ and ARK long.

Tony said...

Good luck and have a good Turkey Day!

Eric said...

I'm glad to see you make some money... Not that easy you had to reverse your thesis, that is the trick... Realizing when you are wrong and then acting on it.

Eric said...

have a good thanksgiving.

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