Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Saturday, March 29, 2008

A Bullish Case For a Bearish Quarterly Print

I'm having a hard time sleeping.

Thesis:
A Bullish Case for a Bearish Print in some good stock
for Hedgfunds in Q1
So, Pretend you run a hedgefund You are starting a new position in a Stock. For your investors you want to show that first position in a stock. and you want your balance sheet to show
200,000 shares X bank, March 1 $10
then next quarter you can show.
400,000 shares X bank, june 1 $20 -last Quarter $10... Gain 100%.
Point is Push it down as far as you can for that first print on the balance sheet......
Also... Not everything Trades with the indexes... When the Third wave of a down move is at its most bearish... that is when the good stuff gets Cheep.... not always on the 5th wave.
Also some Hedgies show open march 31, or close mar31, or open april 1, or close april 1.
this is all just theory, I know nothing.

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