Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

When we retest

remember... EVERYBODY IS LOOKING FOR 740... it will be before that. and this may only be a preliminary bounce

2 comments:

Tony said...

48 pts in the S&P is alot more to fall all at once. Do you think we see another rally up to 860 before the retest to 740?

Eric said...

that is the $2K dollar question...

notice I didn't say $24K.

I think most of that will happen in one Whack.

friday is expiration. If there isn't a pivot on the monday before, there is a tendency to end on the lows on friday. This is like playing with fire.

If you want my WAG/Crystal ball this is a Monday washout setup.

standard protocol is big down Thursday, sideways friday, washout monday/Tuesday (I think we have only done this once)

This market has been rough... so I expect weirdness. This could go on for another week. It would not surprise me to see a dead cat bounce for a week... and yet that could be a diabolical reversal.

this looks like a 2 swing flag... I'm going to draw a chart.

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