Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

It scares me to post this....

Discouragement and Aversion Phase ?

After a long price slide, the area where churning takes place is between the Discouragement and the Aversion phase, after a significant decline has already taken place. Often, this appears as a head and shoulders bottom, a cup and handle or a saucer dish pattern. As the public continues to dump stocks, short sellers become bold and bearish. Their views are supported by bad news and poor economic data. Prognostication of lower prices to come is undoubted. This is when everyone knows that the market cannot ever go up again, and that anything, even cash, is preferable to owning stocks.

2 comments:

tradewell said...

Again, I see nothing like this. The most market-averse people are saying "no point in investing until 2009-2010", no talk of never trusting it again or anything.

But this might be enough, i guess?

Eric said...

I have to look at every possibility, Like I say "I think stocks are worthless" but that hasn't stopped people from buying them for centuries.

Looking at the possibilities, then trying to figure out which one we are about to fulfill.

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