Price risk Vs Information Risk

The thing, it appears that we need to watch, is the point of maximum Information Risk. Then We have to Game that out with Technicals and Sentiment.

Futures are down right now, and it's kind of pissing me off... LOL. I keep making a mistake with earnings and not delving into the data deeply enough, I figured Earnings were this morning and not tonight for Alcoa, This is only the second time in 6 months I've made this mistake.

I felt as though that point of short term information risk was on the start of Earnings. I don't know about all the bullshit on TV, but it seems to me like Earnings Expectations are Miserable. I thought we would start pulling back the Curtain on Earnings, This morning. Which would Relieve the Information risk.

We have the wall of Worry right? and we worry into Earnings, and we Fear those results. Once that data is out we have some Clarity and Information risk is lower and prices can move Higher. For the past 1 years. That pivot on information risk is Bank Earnings, Which come out in 2 clusters over 2 weeks. I imagine that If we Game that Forward a little, That pivot would come either at the Beginning of earnings, or at worst that first set of earnings, next week.

We also need to talk about my model which says there are 2 important Time pivots next week, one on monday for Options Expiration and One on Friday. A pull back from Monday to Friday of next week and it would have made sense. And yet we are sort of getting one this week. Of course it's only a couple days.

So... I guess the question is if this gap lower will be the Maximum Price risk... At least for a Few days, if not for earnings season. If you did just say "Wall of Worry" into earnings as a general asset class. You would have to give this the High probability point for Maximum information risk.

I'm going to re-Read "The Bible" and reflect on this.