Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Thursday, April 30, 2009

Morning

Damn.... look at them futures... if it opens like that there won't be a bear to be found.

that may sideline me today...

8 comments:

Tony said...

Sideline? You're net long, right?

Eric said...

I'm flat... I've been taking small trades every once in a while.

They are saying "everyone back in the pool on T.V."

Eric said...

If we can push below that green line I may short a bit...

Rick is very bearish.... and may just represent a broad number of bearish people.

When we get through Aversion phase(like next Nov), that is when I'll be net long. Till then... I'll trade as I can.

There is no wedge etc... on the chart.... point being no sign of reversal... except building bullish sentiment.

T-lo... says Pass fail... not sure what that means except we are going one way or the other.

Tony said...

50% chance of head-fake, bull trap?

Who's Rick? Santelli?

Eric said...

I have indicators that suggest we go 200pts higher in this swing, and higher than yesterday's high... Or so.

so, if that is a Pass, then my indicators say we move up.

We may move up that 200 pts and come back to this level and retest the resistance, here.

but sentiment... this feels like "We are going to the moon", and that this should be a Bull trap... But if we are doing Pass/Fail, I think we pass.

So... I'm scratching my head...

Like I've said, even if we pull back, it won't be far. maybe 100spx points or so...

But it also seems unanimous... we have bottomed... and usually once we know that... It's too late.

I guess all I can say is go short below yesterday's end of day low.

we could easily have a mid day Top, and sell off into the close... "shooting star".

that fucker Carter worth, says range bound... makes me think we go higher.

and I thing for all the bullishness, I see some hidden people on blogs who are short... and are holding the rick santelli/Trading With TK line, It's possible these crazy "Wingnut" Right wingers, are playing politics with their shorts...

I keep being worried about TK.... just a side note..

Eric said...

I wish I could give you answers... All I can do at this point is look for setups..

Tony said...

Hey, that seems reasonable for set-ups. Predictions are overrated.

This gap could fade, or it could go to the moon. By the "moon", it seems like you're saying SPX 900 or 910 by my estimate of what you're saying.

I like your green line; it looks like a good line in the sand. The bears are becoming bulls one at a time.

TK... yeah I was thinking about him too recently. I hope he's okay healthwise.

Eric said...

I think he realized he got Chumped by the market.... Hard to face... with a blog...

My vote is against the gap fade... and Pro the 11am market fade...

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