[17:44]Grovel: no im a nice anarchist
[17:44]PaulAbrams: no question we're in trouble..
[17:44]papernoose: well, the stock market has been improving some
[17:44]PaulAbrams: question is how severe and how long do we have
[17:44]ReubenFine: i'm predicting 20% unemployment, a no brainer. methinks it goes to 25-30
[17:44]Grovel: it did that after 1929 too
[17:45]ReubenFine: yes, problem now is numbers are fudged.
[17:45]ReubenFine: i don't trust any numbers from the gov't.
[17:45]Grovel: things are different today, I hear every mother say
[17:45]PaulAbrams: hey this is what happens when the people hand over control of their currency to private organizations
[17:45]ReubenFine: of course, i don't trust any of their words, either.
[17:46]papernoose: I wonder what will happen to those big retirement systems who have lost so much in their investments if the market doesn't go back up?
[17:46]ReubenFine: right PA, still time to buy gold.
[17:46]Grovel: I just hope only the rich get hurt, they caused this not the poor poor people
[17:47]papernoose: true Grovel
[17:47]PaulAbrams: that would be nice Grovel but you know the opposite will be the case
[17:47]Grovel: i know sadly
[17:47]ReubenFine: gold is up 9 years in a row and is up this year.
[17:47]RookSnooker: can't i be a commie fascist?
[17:47]Grovel: the rich always have their cushion of money
[17:47]PaulAbrams: I know Fine, but somehow I don't even trust gold... I don't have a good reason though
[17:47]Grovel: i sould have bought Gold after 911
[17:48]papernoose: can we look to the Great Depression for insights into today's situation?
[17:48]ReubenFine: well they can make it illegal again in this free country.
[17:48]ReubenFine: in GD, it took ab 3.5 years for the market to bottom.
[17:48]RookSnooker: what kind of debt did people have then?
[17:48]PaulAbrams: yes papernoose...
[17:49]ReubenFine: nothing near the debt of today, for sure.
[17:49]PaulAbrams: but not all insights
[17:49]papernoose: Paul, it seems very different today though
[17:49]ReubenFine: plus in 1929 we still manufactured something
[17:49]PaulAbrams: we can still get some ideas/hints...
[17:49]papernoose: huge credit card debts, 0 down on loans, kids using school loans to buy new cars, etc.
[17:49]ReubenFine: we have to go back to saving and producing. anything else is a bandaid that will fail.
[17:50]RookSnooker: i should quick be a police osciffer
[17:50]Grovel: we can make better toothpaste than the chinese
[17:50]papernoose: yes, the point on manufacturing is a good one, imo
[17:50]ReubenFine: no CDOs either
[17:50]PaulAbrams: kids using school loans to buy cars? hadn't heard that
[17:51]ReubenFine: we'll have to swallow our pride and take less money for wages.
[17:51]papernoose: Paul, yeah, that was going on under Clinton even
[17:51]ReubenFine: in the mean time, huge gov't deficits will cause inflation.
[17:51]papernoose: college students, that is
[17:51]PaulAbrams: Fine - that would be okay if I knew the rich were taking wage cuts as well, but they won't
[17:51]RookSnooker: college students are to blame for this all
[17:52]papernoose: Rook no, just an example of a difference now, v. the time of the Great Depression
[17:52]ReubenFine: yeah, agreed PA. it's going to get ugly. i think we're still in early stages. we might get a short bear rally, tho.
[17:52]Grovel: Guiliani said the rich need even more pay in bad times so they can help the company get back to profitability again
[17:52]RookSnooker: what have they been teaching these kids?
[17:53]PaulAbrams: that's cuz Guiliani is one of the rich
[17:53]Grovel: so the rich need lots of money in good times and more in bad times-a win win situation
[17:53]RookSnooker: colleges are the devil
[17:53]PaulAbrams: yeah and lose-lose for the rest
[17:54]Grovel: yea
[17:54]APickedHandle: it's the opposite. consumers are not buying.
[17:54]Grovel: the poor are getting the brown end of the stick
[17:54]papernoose: I suppose there is a lot of fear with the consumers
[17:54]APickedHandle: doesn't matter how rich the company owners are if the consumers are not shopping
[17:54]riemanngalois: the brown end of the stick?
[17:54]PaulAbrams: well, when I say the rich I guess I really mean the powerful
[17:54]riemanngalois: is that the end in the toilet
[17:54]papernoose: and Im sure many are 'maxed out', etc.
[17:54]Grovel: the dirty nasty end
[17:55]riemanngalois: i use to use a stick to unclog toilets
[17:55]riemanngalois: filled to the brim with fecal matter
[17:55]PaulAbrams: what do you use now? your fingers?
[17:55]APickedHandle: the economy is the topic, riemann
[17:55]riemanngalois: no i make a good living now
[17:55]riemanngalois: im a millionaire
[17:55]cadger: received a funny email...
[17:55]PaulAbrams: so u get the maid to do it
[17:55]riemanngalois: but i will never forget the brown end of a stick
[17:55]Grovel: reim uses a gold cane now ;]
[17:56]PaulAbrams: gold stick still a stick
[17:56]cadger: There are about 40 million people over the age of 50 in the work force - Pay them $1 million apiece severance with the following stipulations: 1) They leave their jobs. Forty million job openings - Unemployment fixed, economy stimulated. 2) They buy NEW American cars. Forty million cars ordered - Auto Industry fixed, economy stimulated.
[17:56]papernoose: be rich in 'spirit'
[17:56]cadger: 3) They either buy a house or pay off their mortgage - Housing Crisis fixed, economy stimulated. And lets not forget all the leftover money to save/invest/spend/start new business/etc. ECONOMY STIMULATED. Any questions?
[17:56]riemanngalois: im just lying, im not a millionaire, lol
[17:56]riemanngalois: i just make barely enough to survive
[17:57]cadger: In reality -- for $40 Million dollars -- it would probably be the cheapest and most brilliant plan the Government ever implement. Instead, we are stuck with liberal morons who are in the process of KILLING this country
[17:57]cadger: who is the quickest here?
[17:57]APickedHandle: quickest to do what?
[17:57]riemanngalois: interesting idea cadger
[17:57]cadger: to explain why email is funny
[17:57]PaulAbrams: cadger: Yeah but cadger.... this way they spend $700 BILLION, they don't fix the problem, but they get to redistribute all our money against themselves. Your way the power mongers get nothing
[17:57]Grovel: reim is just a poor boy in the unemployment line, my God he's barely alive!
[17:57]riemanngalois: get rid of the baby boomer in the jobs, make room for new younger people
[17:58]PaulAbrams: or $70 billion or whatever it is.... hardly matters at those figures
[17:58]Grovel: give us boomers 1 million and we will let you have our jobs
[18:00]APickedHandle: the true answer to american problems is clean, renewable, abundant domestic energy.
[18:00]PaulAbrams: doesn't matter how much... they're just printing it all out of thin air anyway.... just debases our savinsh
[18:00]PaulAbrams: savings
there is a point where I had to jump in and point out that 1 million times 40 million is 40 trillion. This is roughly a Troll, but this does show how stupid people are. as they just repeat MEME's about Print money and inflation. assume that things will be the same as the great depression.
Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.
J. P. Morgan
Thursday, April 2, 2009
the chess chat.
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