Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Prof siegel

Jeremy Siegel calls bottom:

To support his views, Siegel also took a jab at market pessimists who claim that the stock market hardly looks cheap with a P/E on the S&P 500 index's trailing 12 month earnings in the range of 22 to 23 times. Siegel argued that the huge write-downs from financial firms (and General Motors GM, for that matter) have caused a "valuation gap" to open up, and that if you look at operating earnings, you'd see a much different picture--and a P/E closer to 17. He also referenced the past few market bottoms, noting that the trailing 12 month P/E ratios on the reported earnings for the S&P 500 at each of those market bottoms was significantly higher than what we're seeing today. Simply put, he doesn't believe the market is justified in assuming "trough level" earnings on a going forward basis...
When I point out this stuff..... You have to know... I find the more bottom callers.. the less likely it is.
I was looking at tech stocks..... WOW... there were some deals

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