So. Oil has come down, quite quickly.
and oil can still barely hang onto $114
Finally it looks like we have an oversold bounce....(which I figured we would get more in the 120 range.)
SO..... BRING OUT THE DIP BUYERS. "Valuations are great.".
sure I'm still, tentatively bullish on commodities... but.. I'd bet this is more of a Fall to spring play. and it may obey the seasonal trends and bottom next Feb.
If you assume this Bounce is the half way point.... Oil goes to 100-90 before the B word. I wouldn't touch it till 110 or 105 at least.
Worst part is bob pisani is all over this...
Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.
J. P. Morgan
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
Bring out the dip buyers
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