Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Thursday, May 7, 2009

I'm getting that feeling


next pivot is 89 and the trend down lower.

38 comments:

Tony said...

How do you figure the pivot? Is that a target of some sort?

Eric said...

don't you have an 89.40 s3 pivot?

umn... but still I think we have a little bounce...

or not..

Tony said...

I have pivot at 91.65 and S1 91.10. S2 is 90.06

Don't have an S3 pivot.

We are in between pivot and S1, and I think this is a down day, my target is S1 for today, maybe it goes to S2 90.06.

If it hits pivot it should bounce down. (I've been wrong on this, but when it works I think I'm a genius.)

Eric said...

91.38 or so is the break down point.

your target which is the 900 spx point...

sounds ok...

Tony said...

So SPY runs up to the pivot 91.65 which is the the entry. Of course, because it's diabolical, it head fakes to 91.75. Damn, but I think that was a short entry. We'll see.

Tony said...

Blind squirrel, that's me.

Do you really think this things goes to 90?

Tony said...

The crappy bond auction is the narrative, but this was ready to drop... just looking for an excuse.

It may hit 90.

Eric said...

90.75 is next resistance..

but the only good support is the 900spx

Eric said...

90 Ish is the target of the Head and shoulders

Eric said...

if you take... half at .50 of profit,

that gives you .50 above your entry as an exit, to get out flat.

Eric said...

I'm not sure you are free and clear till we get past the day low.

Tony said...

91.10 time for a bounce

Eric said...

damn you read bad 90.75..

maybe... freefall to 90 till like 1 or 2

Eric said...

damn.. we are both wrong

Eric said...

yesterday's 1pm lows... that was the one..

but again 90.75

Eric said...

the real question is if this is just a wunderbar setup

Eric said...

that sort of weak ass Flag was the tell.

but birds in bush...

Eric said...

xlf keeps flashing red

(new low on my board)

Tony said...

it's dazed here near 91.10 after that head shot.

Tony said...

looks like it's gearing up for another downleg.

Higher rates cannot be good for COF just saying

Eric said...

well... ticks are downtrending..

but there is a chance they are going Pennant...

which may give us our downside break out to 90 ish.....

Eric said...

ticks went positive... she wants to rest at 90.80... maybe

grasso is bearish..

Eric said...

iwm still making lowwws..

Spike in Tick rate...

That is a momentum low....

time for the secondary low...

may hit that low 90's for us...

Eric said...

Everything is flashing Red.....

Eric said...

Ticks Holding negative... -991 for 4 minutes so far

wow.. havn't seen that in a while

Eric said...

looks like it wants to fight it out at 90.70

Tony said...

Not an Elliot guy, but is this wave 4 near an end? Due for a wave 5 down?

Eric said...

90.70 end of wave 3...

wave 4 whatever the retrace was

wave 5 to 90.10 or so..

don't take 90.10 serious... I just pulled it out of my ass

but I also suspect we will get that at 14:35

Eric said...

90.20 maybe... game that at 90.25

Tony said...

close enuf. What's the target on wave 5?

Eric said...

wave 3 or the end of wave 3 is the momentum low... Then wave 4...

and wave 5 is the secondary low.

Eric said...

if we can close lower than yesterday's low.. we can get a dark shaddow over yesterdays push..

hmmmm well... watch 91 we may have a failed wave 5.... but if ticks can stay negative...

Eric said...

that was the 14:30 time pivot...

seems like it will be a crap shoot into the bell...

yesterday 50% selling 50% buying

day before all buying.....

Maybe selling at the bell is accelerating...

Eric said...

one would think we would need some kind of descending to get through 900

Eric said...

990 on ticks... not to be greedy but this may have more gas

Eric said...

how are you doing, buddy? did you fall asleep?

Tony said...

Still here. I'm cash since 3pm. Good day.

I can't switch to long after being short all day, so I'm just watching.

Did you see what Najarian did to ALL? It has gone parabolic before it's earnings. If they miss it will be a bloodbath.

Tony said...

Holy shit, I scalped 75 cents big on ALL short right before the close. WTF.

That'll pay the mortgage. lol

New Economic Indicators and Releases

What does Blue Horse shoe love?- Blog search of "BHL"

cnbc