Financial history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. You can't be stupid enough to trade off anything I say.... I'm lucky they let me out of the straight-jacket long enough to trade.

J. P. Morgan

"Sell down to your sleeping point"

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

if this breaks


the target is 89.70 the volume died and we seem to have gone down...

struggling with that 900 support resistance.

17 comments:

Tony said...

Yup, on my blog I said 89.50 if it breaks below 90.07 (which is the pivot, funny how that works.)

Eric said...

market seems unsure, the tick rate on that false break out was huge...

to be bearish... we want to see it turn negative.

Tony said...

SPY 90.40 is short term resistance and a break above that could end my thesis for today.

Eric said...

I'm warming up to your top...

things were crazy yesterday. me Toooooo!!1

Tony said...

I don't have the exact volume numbers, but it seems light. The end of day upmove yesterday had the best volume of the day and who know what will happen today...

Don't short a quiet market. The "smart" money may come in and buy this sucker.

Tony said...

Man, I thank Brian Shannon has taken over my keyboard. Was that a hedge or what?

Tony said...

What do you see in GENZ short here at 54?

Tony said...

Bingo on the SPY.

Eric said...

watch for a trap on the spy.

you could see 53 out of genz

watch the Pennant.

it's bearish but there is high volume on the 22nd.. could be a bottom

Tony said...

Good call on the trap. Maybe bears are covering every chance they can get.

Eric said...

Carefull both ways... a good trap is a Head and shoulders or inverse.

so.. maybe that is half the trap... or she is still going to break down

Tony said...

This should make a move before close, my bet is down.

Risk management. Too many head fakes.

Eric said...

t- say.... maybe, one more push

I say:
assets to 1 didn't play out so no 3 push pattern to 950...

we will see, but we are close

Tony said...

This beast won't roll over. I want to see XLF above 11.70.

Eric said...

see the weak ass volume?

Tony said...

Pisani: "Sideways is great for bulls." Volume tells me that nobody's buying it and coupled with overextended run, this looks more like a short term pb still to me even if just part of a consolidation. But what the hell do I know?

Wait and see. Cannot short this mess too much, but my swings are now net short having taken profits in some long positions.

APOL relies on student loans and I just don't see that model as viable.

Eric said...

did you see the GENZ pennant?

it's from the 22 to friday,

and the other side is like 15 days ago to the recent high.

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