Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Market

The day tends to come in 3 forms, a morning leg, an afternoon leg, which are significant. then some kind of lunch correction.

That the market rallied through 11:30. That is a 3 hour move. that is sometimes proportional to the afternoon leg. Which would suggest that the correction will be 1-2 hours... specifically 1.5 hours.
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the way the market is moving feels like "the bottom is in" trade, and we need to get some nice euphoria, which should also be a "Shorts are in Hell" phase, as they have been waiting for a correction to get out.

7 comments:

  1. What is the short ratio for the market now?

    Is it historically high or low?

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  2. that is monthly data, actually it seems like it's relatively low

    October 31, 2008
    722,568,248

    October 15, 2008
    1,141,341,041

    September 30, 2008
    1,182,959,576

    September 15, 2008
    1,375,834,183

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  3. I'm glad you are making money, sad to see you walking, it seems like there is still some money out there, we could get a very nice rally.

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  4. Yeah, it was a good day... even a blind squirrel... yada yada yada.

    My in-laws are coming for Thxgiving and I have some stuff to do.

    I'm still holding HCBK, MCD, JNJ and ARK long.

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  5. Good luck and have a good Turkey Day!

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  6. I'm glad to see you make some money... Not that easy you had to reverse your thesis, that is the trick... Realizing when you are wrong and then acting on it.

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